Blues + Yellow
FIFA Club World Cup 2025
As predicted in AI Likes Chelsea, they edged Palmeiras 2–1. Now Opta’s supercomputer gives them an 81.3% chance to beat Fluminense and 34.1% to win it all. The semifinal kicks off this afternoon (Fluminense are unbeaten in last 11 matches). But have the models factored in the yellow card toll? Four players—two from each side—are suspended, including Chelsea’s Delap and Colwill. While Opta excludes missing players from simulations, the true impact of disruption is harder to model. The numbers say Chelsea—but with four key absences, how good are the models at handling uncertainty?